This month brought us some interesting news from Canada, as Prime Minister Justin Trudeau won the Federal election to return for a second term as the leader of Canada. There has also been some progress in the US/China trade talks and the US Federal Reserve has decided to cut rates once again. We also came closer than ever to a BREXIT deal that eventually was shut down, but it shows there is at least some progress being made. Many of the major headlines have either concluded, are in the process of being resolved or shine a positive light towards the markets. This should give investors more predictability going forward which should drive markets higher.
As the yearly returns can attest this year has been something rarely seen, SIMULTANEOUS GLOBAL GROWTH. The economic numbers from around the world have been steady as the result of monetary stimulus taking hold and elevating the markets. Not surprisingly, equities have been the place to be, because with new money being pushed into the market (quantitative easing) and zero or negative interest rates (guaranteed losing return); where else could you get a return on your investment?
With Dutch and recent French elections going according to plan and Donald Trump firing the FBI director for investigating his dealings with Russia, it’s hard to sometimes remind ourselves that the global economy matters more than politics. The health of the US economy and earnings matter more than the recent political woes and the Federal Reserve’s constant spotlight.
We decided to combine February and March in this issue as there weren’t as many headlines in February to discuss. March was a less impressive month compared to a fantastic February. In February the global economy rebounded with China leading the way. In March, we received mixed results from major economies with the exception of Germany and Hong Kong realizing strong economic results.
It was an eventful 2016 with many investors worrying about the state of the market in January and then absolute bliss post-Trump election. We will review this year’s top stories and what impact it had and could have in the future.
Some memorable events in 2016 were…
- China’s manufacturing triggering a mass worldwide sell-off in early 2016.
- The infamous BREXIT where the majority of the United Kingdom decided to leave the European Union.
- An underdog celebrity candidate became the next elected U.S. President and which promises vows to keep.
- Oil’s recovery and OPEC providing a glimmer of hope to capping production after a disastrous 2015. Lastly, the vote of confidence from the Federal Reserve in the way of raising rates by 0.25% round-up our major headlines.