This month brought us some interesting news from Canada, as Prime Minister Justin Trudeau won the Federal election to return for a second term as the leader of Canada. There has also been some progress in the US/China trade talks and the US Federal Reserve has decided to cut rates once again. We also came closer than ever to a BREXIT deal that eventually was shut down, but it shows there is at least some progress being made. Many of the major headlines have either concluded, are in the process of being resolved or shine a positive light towards the markets. This should give investors more predictability going forward which should drive markets higher.
What a New Year it has become. As we put 2018 behind us, we look forward to what 2019 has to bring. The year has started off by rebounding from the worst December since 1931, to the best January since 1987. This came off the optimism of everything that brought down the market at the end of the year will be fixed throughout the coming year. With the US and China trying to work out a trade deal and with the US Federal Reserve holding off on interest rate increases. This has renewed hopes around these sensitive issues for investors, resulting in money pouring back into the market to take advantage of the lower prices.
As the yearly returns can attest this year has been something rarely seen, SIMULTANEOUS GLOBAL GROWTH. The economic numbers from around the world have been steady as the result of monetary stimulus taking hold and elevating the markets. Not surprisingly, equities have been the place to be, because with new money being pushed into the market (quantitative easing) and zero or negative interest rates (guaranteed losing return); where else could you get a return on your investment?
With Dutch and recent French elections going according to plan and Donald Trump firing the FBI director for investigating his dealings with Russia, it’s hard to sometimes remind ourselves that the global economy matters more than politics. The health of the US economy and earnings matter more than the recent political woes and the Federal Reserve’s constant spotlight.
We decided to combine February and March in this issue as there weren’t as many headlines in February to discuss. March was a less impressive month compared to a fantastic February. In February the global economy rebounded with China leading the way. In March, we received mixed results from major economies with the exception of Germany and Hong Kong realizing strong economic results.