Canadian Housing Update 10.5: Big Changes in US Real Estate Commissions

Big Changes in the US Real Estate Sector May Soon Be Coming to Canada

Author
Justin Lim
Date
August 11, 2023
March 18, 2024
Category
Canadian Housing

A major US Realtor group has agreed to implement a rule change to pay out $418 Million to homeowners ending a 4-year class action lawsuit. This is a result of the real estate group artificially inflating real estate commissions. This is concerning the 6% commission on buying and selling a home, in the US this rule could now be gone pending court approval.

This has been a long 4-year class action lawsuit but has gotten more attention with the cost of rising rates and unaffordable homes in the last year. While $418 million does seem like a lot this lawsuit started as $1.8 billion and the $418 was the ending settlement. This is set to dramatically change the current home-buying model in which brokers were taking a percentage which does not seem appropriate with home prices where they currently stand.  

Lower Home Prices

This new ruling, if put into law, should result in lower home prices due to lower real estate commissions. This may also potentially open the door for a flat fee model vs. a percentage fee model.  In comparison, countries like Singapore and the UK often charge behind 1 and 2% commission for the same service as agents in the United States and Canada. This could result in not only lower prices but better turnover in real estate. More turnover would create more supply and a more liquid real estate market, which could help normalize pricing. 

Coming to Canada?

There is a similar lawsuit in Canada currently, that started in April of 2021, and this strengthens the Canadian home seller’s case going forward. In the past, the United States and Canada have shared the same system with 5-6% real estate commissions but given the current environment of unaffordable housing and high rates, it would be very unlikely for Canada to not follow suit if put into law in the US.

Summary

This is likely coming to Canada and should help with real estate pricing and liquidity. This will not crash pricing by any means but create a better more efficient market. A more efficient market would be to the benefit of the buyers and the sellers so that they end up with more money in their pockets and value in their homes.

Justin, Konrad, and Merriel

More articles and information are available at www.knowprotectgrow.com 

Content Sources: Bloomberg, Trading Economics, Yahoo Finance, BCA Research

Disclaimer: This newsletter is solely the work of Konrad Kopacz and Justin Lim for the private information of their clients. Although the author is a registered Investment Advisor with Echelon Wealth Partners Inc. (“Echelon”) this is not an official publication of Echelon, and the author is not an Echelon research analyst. The views (including any recommendations) expressed in this newsletter are those of the author alone, and they have not been approved by, and are not necessarily those of, Echelon.

Echelon Wealth Partners Inc. is a member of the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada and the Canadian Investor Protection Fund.

Forward-looking statements are based on current expectations, estimates, forecasts and projections based on beliefs and assumptions made by the author. These statements involve risks and uncertainties and are not guarantees of future performance or results and no assurance can be given that these estimates and expectations will prove to have been correct, and actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed, implied or projected in such forward-looking statements.

The opinions expressed in this report are the opinions of the author and readers should not assume they reflect the opinions or recommendations of Echelon Wealth Partners Inc. or its affiliates. Assumptions, opinions, and estimates constitute the author’s judgment as of the date of this material and are subject to change without notice. We do not warrant the completeness or accuracy of this material, and it should not be relied upon as such. Before acting on any recommendation, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and, if necessary, seek professional advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

These estimates and expectations will prove to have been correct, and actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed, implied or projected in such forward-looking statements.